Buffalo Snow model scores high on the statistical model for AIC: 14.813 Number of Fisher Scoring iterations.
> month<-c(1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,9,10,11,12)
> snow<-c(0,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0)
> month.n=month-1
> forecast<-glm(snow~month.n,family=binomial)
> summary(forecast)
Call:
glm(formula = snow ~ month.n, family = binomial)
Deviance Residuals:
Min 1Q Median 3Q Max
-1.8930 0.6039 0.6039 0.6039 0.6039
Coefficients:
Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)
(Intercept) 1.609e+00 1.457e+00 1.105 0.269
month.n -7.473e-17 2.244e-01 0.000 1.000
(Dispersion parameter for binomial family taken to be 1)
Null deviance: 10.813 on 11 degrees of freedom
Residual deviance: 10.813 on 10 degrees of freedom
AIC: 14.813
Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 3