When measured over the last couple of days, an increase in CH4 release was noted through 2 of the five measurements. This means that tornadoes will have a 40% probability of being violent today. NO3 increase from polarity is expected within storm rainfall attributes as storms intensify. NO3 will be soluble within H20 in the updraft and tighten as storms increase to help intensify storms across Northeast Arkansas, Northwest Mississippi, Western Tennessee, and Southeast Missouri. The model indicates any storm that can cross the White River watershed in Southeast Missouri and Northeast Arkansas will have a 40% probability of producing a violent tornado. Also, a 40% probability of any storm that crosses the Mississippi watershed of Northwest Mississippi, Northeast Arkansas, Western Tennessee, and Southeast Missouri could be violent today. CH4 release from these locations along with stem CH4 release will be the primary factors in violent tornadoes across those regions today. Especially watch storms crossing rivers for a violent increase in storm intensity today is a real possibility.