Oklahoma:
A surface low pressure will be located over Colorado with a stationary front extending across Oklahoma into Texas. A dryline will extend out of the low pressure in Colorado into Texas. CH4 from river angiosperm will be running over 3000 um2 near rivers and lakes. CH4 from rivers and lakes across Western Oklahoma is forecast to run between 1um2 and 1400 um2. Tree stem release of CH4 across Western Oklahoma is expected to be between .0031 and 1.87 um2. NO3 fields are expected to run from 0061 to 0081. This all indicates the potential that some storms which form away from rivers with high angiosperm release could produce EF-0 to EF-2 tornadoes. Right now the best likelihood for tornado production would be near Hobart and Altus Oklahoma. This does not mean that other areas would not develop tornadoes but feel that near these two cities meet the requirements across Western Oklahoma for potential tornado formation.
Kansas:
CH4 angiosperm release along rivers is expected to be near 150 um2. CH4 release from rivers and lakes is expected to run near 88 um2. Tree stem CH4 release is expected to run from .00031 to .91 um2. NO3 fields are expected to run from 0004 to 0071. This indicates a likely offset to severe weather with rain, small hail, and gusty winds as the primary activity.
Texas:
CH4 angiosperm release near rivers and lakes is expected to be over 3000 um2. CH4 from rivers and lakes across Texas is forecast to run between 1um2 and 1750 um2. Tree stem release of CH4 across Texas is expected to be between .0031 and 1.87 um2. NO3 fields are expected to run from 0061 to 0081. This all indicates the potential for hail, wind, and tornadoes. The best chance for an isolated tornado EF-0 to EF-2 in Texas as of this writing would be near Abilene Texas.
Forecaster:
Climate Scientist Wayne Adams