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Oklahoma House Tornado Forecasts Eight Year Study Stats Day by Day Tornado Warning by Warning

> year<-c(2014,2015,2016,2017,2018,2019,2020,2021)

> presence<-c(1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1)

> year.n=year-2014

> tornado<-glm(presence~year.n, family=binomial)

> summary(tornado)


Call:

glm(formula = presence ~ year.n, family = binomial)


Deviance Residuals: 

   Min     1Q   Median     3Q    Max  

6.547e-06 6.547e-06 6.547e-06 6.547e-06 6.547e-06  


Coefficients:

       Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)

(Intercept) 2.457e+01 8.457e+04    0    1

year.n   3.828e-10 2.022e+04    0    1


(Dispersion parameter for binomial family taken to be 1)


  Null deviance: 0.0000e+00 on 7 degrees of freedom

Residual deviance: 3.4294e-10 on 6 degrees of freedom

AIC: 4


Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 23

House To House Tornado Forecast - Payhip is 100% accurate over 8 years in a study of one house under numerous tornado warnings in Oklahoma.