The Risk & Survival Bundle - 10 Guides, All Measured

You have been told to use a two-to-one reward, to risk one per cent, to move the stop to breakeven and to keep leverage low. None of it arrived with a number attached, and most of it arrived with no control at all.

This bundle is ten complete guides, 448 pages, that measure the advice instead of repeating it.

The panel is 112,130 bars across TEN INSTRUMENTS and TWO TIMEFRAMES - one hour and one day - from public sources that need no account. Eighteen geometries and two exit policies, 20 tests, all pre-registered before the data was read. The corrected bar for 20 tests is a z of 3.023.

Eight cleared that bar on the raw count. The independent re-count left two. Four post-hoc attacks left none. That is the finding, and it is printed rather than buried - because what survives a result like that is the arithmetic, and the arithmetic is what this bundle is made of.

WHAT MAKES THESE DIFFERENT

The control here is DERIVED before it is measured: at a target of R and a stop of S, a driftless walk reaches the target first S/(R+S) of the time. At two-to-one that is 33.33 per cent - not a low bar, a break-even line - and every empirical control across all eighteen cells landed within about a point of it. Every risk:reward lesson leaves that number out.

Two errors this study made are printed in full, including one that changed a result's SIGN when its control was corrected. And the round-trip cost, the one number in a trade that is certain, is 11.13 per cent of a one-ATR stop on the hourly leg - charged whether the trade wins or loses.

WHAT'S INSIDE

Risk:Reward Ratio (48pp) - What your geometry is worth before the market is consulted.

Position Sizing (44pp) - The position as an output of the stop, never of the balance.

Stop Loss Placement (44pp) - How often each stop distance is actually reached, counted.

Take Profit (44pp) - What a wider target costs in how often you are paid at all.

The 1% Risk Rule (44pp) - What 1, 2, 5 and 10 per cent risk actually do over 500 trades.

Managing Leverage Safely (44pp) - Where the liquidation floor sits relative to your stop.

Drawdown & Recovery Math (44pp) - The exact gain each loss needs back, and the runs to expect.

Scaling In & Out (45pp) - Four exit policies, each measured against its own control.

Building a Trading Plan (44pp) - Four attacks worked in full, then a plan built from what is left.

The Pre-Trade Checklist (47pp) - All twenty tests, and eleven checks you finish before the entry.

WRITTEN FOR SOMEBODY WHO KNOWS THE BASICS AND NO STATISTICS

Every guide opens with a plain-English primer: average true range, the control, the sample size, the standard error, z, the correction, and what an overlapping case is. All defined before the first number appears, with no mathematics anywhere.

AN HONEST NOTE

These are clues, not crystal balls. This bundle contains no hit rates presented as achievable, no historical-test results and no promises about what you will make, because nobody can verify those and you should not trust anyone who prints them. It does not claim risk management is worthless - it claims that eighteen geometries and two exit policies, on these bars, did not beat their own controls by enough to report, and it prints every figure so you can check. Educational, not financial advice.

Instant download. 10 guides, 448 pages, PDF.