The Crypto Leverage Bundle - 10 Guides, All Measured

You have been told to keep leverage sensible, to watch funding, to spread your risk across several coins, and that on-chain data is what the professionals use. None of it arrived with a number attached.

This bundle is ten complete guides, 440 pages, that measure the advice instead of repeating it.

The panel is 88,000 hourly bars across ten instruments joined to 87,898 hourly funding observations - a full year, from public sources that need no account. Every directional claim was raced against a control: does price travel one average true range the promised way before one average true range the other way? 20 tests, pre-registered before the data was read. The corrected bar for 20 tests is a z of 3.023.

One cleared it. Three robustness checks then took it apart - it vanishes at other settings, fails in both halves of the period, and 42.14 per cent of its cases fall in 2022 alone.

WHAT MAKES THESE DIFFERENT

Four of these guides contradict advice you have almost certainly been given. One ordinary bar against you spends 89.29 per cent of your margin at a hundred times. The liquidation formula everyone quotes overstates your room by half at that multiplier. Ten crypto instruments move together at a median correlation of 0.7824, so a cross-margined book is not holding itself up. And the phrase "altcoin season" describes a condition that holds 19.79 per cent of the time anyway.

And guide ten prints two measurement errors this study made and caught - including a result that was pre-registered, corrected, significant and still wrong. A reader who cannot see how a result goes wrong has no way to judge any result.

WHAT'S INSIDE

Crypto Leverage & Liquidation (44pp) - How long a leveraged position actually survives, at four multipliers.

Perpetual Futures (44pp) - What the contract is, which price ends your position, and which way it leans.

Funding Rates (44pp) - The most repeated claim in crypto derivatives, written five ways and raced.

Margin Trading (44pp) - The three things that consume margin, and how fast each one does it.

Cross vs Isolated Margin (44pp) - Whether the other positions cross margin borrows from have anything to lend.

Liquidation Price Math (44pp) - The formula, derived rather than quoted - the one provable claim in the wave.

Open Interest (44pp) - An honest inconclusive test, and the clearest lesson in sample size in the catalogue.

Stablecoins (44pp) - The one result in twenty that cleared the bar, and the three checks that took it apart.

Altcoin Season (44pp) - A base rate for a phrase that is announced constantly and defined never.

Reading On-Chain Data (44pp) - The capstone: all twenty tests in one table, and the two errors this study caught in itself.

WRITTEN FOR SOMEBODY WHO KNOWS THE BASICS AND NO STATISTICS

Every guide opens with a plain-English primer: average true range, the control, the sample size, the standard error, z, the correction - plus every leverage word, from notional and maintenance margin to mark price, basis and the funding interval. All defined before the first number appears, with no mathematics anywhere.

AN HONEST NOTE

These are clues, not crystal balls. This bundle contains no win rates, no historical-test results and no promises about what you will make, because nobody can verify those and you should not trust anyone who prints them. It does not claim leverage is worthless - it is a size tool that does exactly what it says, and the guides measure precisely what it costs. It is the directional claims that did not survive. One further note: several venues offering these contracts exclude US residents, and the guides say so where it matters. Educational, not financial advice.

Instant download. 10 guides, 440 pages, PDF.