3.1 Modelling price processes
This paper covers:
· The efficient market hypothesis
· Price processes based on Brownian motions
· A normally evolving random process
· Wiener and Itô processes
· A log-normally distributed price process
· Expectation of a geometric Brownian motion
· A normally distributed returns process
· Volatility
· Analysing historic time series
· Mean-reverting price processes
· Measures and measure changes
· Changing the drift of a process
The paper has 31 pages and the Excel has 8 sheets