The Quantitative Shield- EBook

Turn the BIS “Red Flags” into a number you can defend.

Your screening software says CLEAR, and three things about the order still don’t sit right: a buyer younger than the technology it’s buying, a route no logistics manager would choose, an end-use that doesn’t need the part on the invoice. Each is a textbook Red Flag — and none of them tells you what to do.

The Quantitative Shield closes that gap. It converts the qualitative BIS Red Flags into a single, defensible Transaction Risk Score built from three pillars — Entity, Route, and Product & End-Use risk — with published weights, plain-English 1–5 rubrics, and hard floors that keep a controlled part or a listed-party buyer from ever quietly clearing.

This is the complete toolkit — the field manual plus the working tools to run it.

What you get (instant download)

• The field manual — PDF, 10 chapters: the formula and the reasoning behind every weight, the three rubrics, the action matrix, ERP integration, a tamper-evident audit trail, calibration, and a full case study.
• Excel scoring calculator — enter the three pillar scores; it returns the TRS, the tier, and the required action, with the floors built in.
• Batch / backtest workbook — score dozens of orders at once and see the tier distribution.
• Audit-log & SOP templates — the record format and a one-page standard operating procedure.
• Reference code — ready-to-run Python and SQL (scoring engine + database triggers).
• One-page Quick-Reference Scorecard — print it, pin it to the wall.

Who it’s for

Export-compliance analysts, trade-compliance managers, and semiconductor and micro-electronics distributors who want the transparency of a scoring model without the black box — and the enterprise price tag — of a screening platform. Copy the rubrics, tune the weights to your own risk, and put it to work before the goods leave the dock.

Format: Instant download — PDF, Excel (.xlsx), and code files. No DRM. Yours to keep and adapt.

Not sure yet? Try the free online calculator first.

A decision-support framework, not legal advice or a licensing determination. Confirm any classification or licensing question with qualified counsel and the current regulations.

— James R. Ferry II, CCS, CES, CIT · Trade Underground Press · ferrytrade.com