🟩 Race Trend Index

Cheltenham Festival Race-By-Race RTI Ratings

The Race Trend Index (RTI) scores every runner in each Cheltenham Festival race against the key statistical markers consistently shared by past winners of that specific contest.

Each race has its own historical winner profile.

RTI measures how closely each runner aligns with that profile — instantly revealing which horses match the proven characteristics of previous Festival winners.

What The RTI Score Shows

Every runner in each Cheltenham race is scored against the key statistical trends consistently shared by past winners of that specific contest.

Example RTI Output

Horse A

RTI Score: 29 / 36

Alignment: 81%

Horse B

RTI Score: 18 / 36

Alignment: 50%

Horse C

RTI Score: 12 / 36

Alignment: 33%

Higher RTI scores indicate a closer statistical match to the historical winner profile of the race.

This allows you to instantly see which runners most closely resemble past Festival winners — before placing a bet.

What You Receive

For every Cheltenham Festival race:

✔ RTI Alignment Score for every runner

✔ Confidence Rating based on predictive trends

✔ Historical Winner Profile Match

✔ Ranked Runner List

✔ Downloadable Festival Race Ratings (Structured Format)

All ratings are generated from long-term historical winner data specific to each race.

What RTI Measures

Every Cheltenham race has historically favoured runners with certain shared characteristics — including:

• Age range
• Market position
• Days since last run
• Course experience
• Distance experience
• Previous hurdle / chase runs
• Official rating bands
• Weight carried
• Preparation profile

RTI converts these key winning markers into a structured alignment score for every runner declared in the race.

Rather than manually checking trends yourself…

…the Race Trend Index does it instantly.

How To Read RTI Ratings

RTI Alignment Score

The total score a runner receives based on how many key historical trends they match.

Higher score = closer alignment with the historical winner profile.

Confidence Rating

Reflects how strongly a runner aligns with the most predictive trends in the race.

High-confidence runners match the trends that have historically carried the greatest weighting in past winners.

Interpreting RTI Scores

80%+ — Strong historical winner fit

65%–79% — Solid contender profile

Below 65% — Limited trend alignment

RTI Ratings are designed to highlight the runners whose statistical profiles most closely resemble previous winners of the race.

Why This Matters

In many Cheltenham Festival races:

• A large majority of recent winners fall within a narrow age band
• Most winners ran within a specific timeframe before the race
• Proven distance form is common among successful runners
• Certain races rarely go to favourites or short-priced runners

Yet each year, many runners fail to meet multiple key historical markers.

RTI allows you to quickly identify which runners are statistically aligned with past winners — before committing to a bet.

Who RTI Is For

RTI is designed for:

• Festival accumulator builders
• Each-way shortlist creation
• Value-focused bettors
• Race profile matching
• Identifying runners overlooked by the market
• Avoiding historically weak winner profiles

RTI helps highlight which runners fit the proven statistical profile of past Cheltenham winners — before finalising your selections.

Race Trend Index is designed to support informed race analysis by highlighting runners that most closely match the established historical profile for success in that race.

RTI does not provide betting advice.

It provides structured historical alignment data to assist with race evaluation.