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What Path Do Successful Traders Follow?
The difference between a trader who succeeds and a trader who keeps wandering in the same place for years is not talent, capital, or strategy. It is the order of the path they have taken. Successful traders are built in a certain order. And many peo...
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Backtesting Procedure
Testing is unavoidable in trading. Using an untested strategy is gambling in itself. Testing is essential for confirming whether your strategy or system has a statistical edge, and for training consistency. Today, I will explain how to conduct testi...
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“I Tested It Thoroughly. Why Don’t My Live Results Match?” Here Is How to Fix It
“I tested it with a large sample size. I followed the rules. And yet, for some reason, my live results look nothing like what I saw in testing.” Has the strategy stopped being profitable? Or has the market changed? But this is not the first time thi...
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A Complete Guide to Trading with Probabilistic Thinking
In trading, you cannot know whether the next trade will win or lose. Even so, you can generate long-term profits by consistently executing a system with an edge. Trading with probabilistic thinking means understanding that both can be true at the sa...
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Blog Posts

October 25 Trade Scenarios (USDJPY, EURUSD)
Hello. Let's map out the trading scenarios for the coming week. I publish these "Trade Scenarios" posts on Sundays. Then, on Saturdays, I publish a "Weekly Trade Report" reviewing how the market actually moved over the past week and where trading op...
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October 18 Trade Scenarios (USDJPY, EURUSD)
Hello. Let's map out the trading scenarios for the coming week. I publish these "Trade Scenarios" posts on Sundays. Then, on Saturdays, I publish a "Weekly Trade Report" reviewing how the market actually moved over the past week and where trading op...
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October 11 (Sun) Trade Scenarios (USDJPY, EURUSD)
Hello. Let's map out the trading scenarios for the coming week. I publish this "Trade Scenarios" blog on Sundays. Then, on Saturdays, I publish a "Weekly Trade Report" reviewing how the market actually moved over the past week and where trading oppo...
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March 17 (Tue) XAUUSD Trade
4h This is the XAUUSD trade I took on Tuesday. Once again, what I am doing here is the same as always. Within a daily sell-the-rally zone, the 4h also formed a lower-high setup, so I entered on the break of the prior low following a lower high on t...
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March 13 (Fri) BTCUSD Trade
4h This is the BTCUSD trade I took yesterday. What I am doing here is the same as always. Within a daily pullback-buying zone, the 4h also formed a higher low, so I entered on the break of the prior high following a higher low on the lower timefram...
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A Quick Update
Thank you as always for reading my blog. I've been quite busy lately and won't have time to write blog posts this weekend or next, so I'll be taking a break. That said, if I find the time during the week, I may put out a one-off post,...
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February 8 Trade Scenarios (USDJPY, EURUSD)
Hello. I’ll lay out my trading scenarios for the coming week. I publish this “Trade Scenarios” blog every Sunday. And every Saturday I post a “Weekly Trade Report” where I explain how I actually thought about the market and executed my trades during...
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February 7 Weekly Trade Report
In this report I will review the key points of my trading this week, focusing on the actual trades I took. This Weekly Trade Report is published every Saturday. When you read it together with Trade Scenarios, which I post every Sunday, I believe it ...
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February 1 Trade Scenarios (USDJPY, EURUSD)
Hello. I’ll lay out my trading scenarios for the coming week. I publish this “Trade Scenarios” blog every Sunday. And every Saturday I post a “Weekly Trade Report” where I explain how I actually thought about the market and executed my trades during...
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January 31 Weekly Trade Report
In this report I will review the key points of my trading this week, focusing on the actual trades I took. This Weekly Trade Report is published every Saturday. When you read it together with Trade Scenarios, which I post every Sunday, I believe it ...
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January 25 Trade Scenarios (USDJPY, EURUSD)
Hello. I’ll lay out my trading scenarios for the coming week. I publish this “Trade Scenarios” blog every Sunday. And every Saturday I post a “Weekly Trade Report” where I explain how I actually thought about the market and executed my trades during...
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January 24 Weekly Trade Report
In this report I will review the key points of my trading this week, focusing on the actual trades I took. This Weekly Trade Report is published every Saturday. When you read it together with Trade Scenarios, which I post every Sunday, I believe it ...
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January 18 Trade Scenarios (USDJPY, EURUSD)
Hello. I’ll lay out my trading scenarios for the coming week. I publish this “Trade Scenarios” blog every Sunday. And every Saturday I post a “Weekly Trade Report” where I explain how I actually thought about the market and executed my trades during...
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January 17 Weekly Trade Report
In this report I will review the key points of my trading this week, focusing on the actual trades I took. This Weekly Trade Report is published every Saturday. When you read it together with Trade Scenarios, which I post every Sunday, I believe it ...
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January 11 Trade Scenarios (USDJPY, EURUSD)
Hello. I’ll lay out my trading scenarios for the coming week. I publish this “Trade Scenarios” blog every Sunday. And every Saturday I post a “Weekly Trade Report” where I explain how I actually thought about the market and executed my trades during...
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January 10 Weekly Trade Report
In this report I will review the key points of my trading this week, focusing on the actual trades I took. This Weekly Trade Report is published every Saturday. When you read it together with Trade Scenarios, which I post every Sunday, I believe it ...
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January 4 Trade Scenarios (USDJPY, EURUSD)
Hello. I’ll lay out my trading scenarios for the coming week. I publish this “Trade Scenarios” blog every Sunday. And every Saturday I post a “Weekly Trade Report” where I explain how I actually thought about the market and executed my trades during...
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January 3 Weekly Trade Report
Happy New Year. Thank you, as always, for reading my blog. I hope 2026 will be a great trading year for you. Now, I’ll look back on the key trading points, focusing on the trades I took this week. This Weekly Trade Report is published every Saturday...
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December 28 Trade Scenarios (USDJPY, EURUSD)
Hello. I’ll lay out my trading scenarios for the coming week. I publish this “Trade Scenarios” blog every Sunday. And every Saturday I post a “Weekly Trade Report” where I explain how I actually thought about the market and executed my trades during...
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December 27 Weekly Trade Report
In this report I will review the key points of my trading this week, focusing on the actual trades I took. This Weekly Trade Report is published every Saturday. When you read it together with Trade Scenarios, which I post every Sunday, I believe it ...
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December 21 Trade Scenarios (USDJPY, EURUSD)
Hello. I’ll lay out my trading scenarios for the coming week. I publish this “Trade Scenarios” blog every Sunday. And every Saturday I post a “Weekly Trade Report” where I explain how I actually thought about the market and executed my trades during...
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December 20 Weekly Trade Report
In this report I will review the key points of my trading this week, focusing on the actual trades I took. This Weekly Trade Report is published every Saturday. When you read it together with Trade Scenarios, which I post every Sunday, I believe it ...
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December 14 Trade Scenarios (USDJPY, EURUSD)
Hello. I’ll lay out my trading scenarios for the coming week. I publish this “Trade Scenarios” blog every Sunday. And every Saturday I post a “Weekly Trade Report” where I explain how I actually thought about the market and executed my trades during...
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December 13 Weekly Trade Report
In this report I will review the key points of my trading this week, focusing on the actual trades I took. This Weekly Trade Report is published every Saturday. When you read it together with Trade Scenarios, which I post every Sunday, I believe it ...
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December 7 Trade Scenarios (USDJPY, EURUSD)
Hello. I’ll lay out my trading scenarios for the coming week. I publish this “Trade Scenarios” blog every Sunday. And every Saturday I post a “Weekly Trade Report” where I explain how I actually thought about the market and executed my trades during...
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Yumi Sakura

Welcome.


I'm Yumi.

I share daily insights on probabilistic thinking and consistency in trading on X (@samuraipips358).


If you're new here, I recommend starting with this roadmap.

It will help you understand where you are in your trading journey and which content may be most useful for you right now.


Here, I'll be sharing deeper content that goes beyond what I can cover in daily posts.

Ideas, frameworks, and tools that I believe will genuinely help your trading.


You'll also find my books and other materials on this page.


If you’d like access to subscriber-only free tools, selected resources, and occasional insights I only share by email, you can join Yumi’s newsletter.

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All content is for educational purposes only.

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I’m unable to answer individual trading questions here.

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